Cleantech Research Roundup, December 2010

Here’s a list of recent research published by leading cleantech research firms, along with brief blurb about the reports written by the firms themselves. If you use other sources for cleantech market research, please let me know. I would like to include them in my list in the future.

US Geothermal Market Consolidates To Capture Potential
IHS Emerging Energy Research, December 3, 2010

After nearly two decades of stagnant growth, the US geothermal industry remains on an upswing despite facing a temporary set back to growth in 2011. Key findings in this Market Brief include the following:

  • Despite weak market conditions for renewable power, the geothermal project pipeline has continued to expand
  • Experienced geothermal players and foreign entrants led by Ormat, Ram Power, CalEnergy, Terra-Gen, and Enel are driving near-term industry growth
  • 1.4 GW of geothermal capacity will come online between 2010 and 2015

Transmission Clutch for US Wind Growth
IHS Emerging Energy Research, December 3, 2010

In this Market Brief, IHS EER examines over 20 transmission initiatives spanning the United States that will unlock significant wind potential. Key findings include:

  • The top US wind markets begin to feel pain of transmission congestion as wind generation is increasingly curtailed
  • State, regional, and private transmission proposals aim to create new wind cost allocation policies that are critical to the viability of many future wind-focused transmission lines
  • The federal government, utilities, and developers are becoming increasingly involved in transmission planning and development for wind-focused transmission lines

Enterprise LED Lighting: Commercial and Industrial Market Trends, Opportunities & Leading Companies
GTM Research, December 1, 2010

Since general illumination light emitting diodes (LEDs) were first introduced in 1997, the industry envisioned that LEDs with projected performance increases could someday completely replace traditional lighting systems. Today that possibility is very realistic thanks to the acceleration in LED performance over the past few years and a wave of new commercial, industrial and institutional LED fixtures that have hit the market. The US market for commercial and industrial LED lighting, for example, is forecasted to see $330 million of revenue in 2010, with potential to grow next year at over 30%, surpassing $1 billion in annual revenues by 2014. This growth will come from three emerging trends in the industry:

  • Recent LED chip performance advancements, which allow more cost effective designs for replacing existing lighting systems
  • Newly introduced utility energy efficiency financial incentives for converting to these LED-based systems
  • Increased interest from building owners in applying sustainably-oriented lighting retrofits that save money in operation

Technology Selection: Building the Technology Foundation for the VPP
IDC Energy Insights, December 2010

This IDC Energy Insights report examines what it will take for utilities to enable the virtual power plant (VPP). Guidance is provided on what utilities may already have in place, what needs to be modified, and what needs to be added. IDC Energy Insights is confident that the VPP will evolve and that utilities need to take VPP into consideration when approaching their business processes, enterprise architecture, and control systems.

According to IDC Energy Insights Analyst Jill Feblowitz, “Utilities will see the most innovation and development in the enterprise and real-time service bus, in analytics for pricing and resource optimization and, on the far horizon, in the decentralization of processing and optimization with the introduction of microgrids.”

The Smart Grid Utility Data Market
SBI Energy, Dec 1, 2010

The volume of Smart Grid data that will have to be managed by utilities over the next few years is going to surge from 10,780 terabytes (TB) of new data created in 2010 to over 75,200 TB in 2015. Managing, analyzing and visualizing that amount of data will be a huge undertaking, creating a global market worth $2.9 billion in 2015.

Microgrid System Revenues to Reach $1.7 Billion by 2016
Pike Research, December 2010

Microgrids offer a compelling alternative to traditional energy generation and distribution, utilizing smart grid technologies to enable integrated control of distributed power generation and energy storage assets either in parallel to or “islanded” from the utility power grid. According to a new report from Pike Research, there are more than 140 modern microgrid projects totaling over 1.1 gigawatts (GW) of capacity worldwide (and 1.8 GW if legacy petrochemical and university campus systems are included in the tally). The cleantech market intelligence firm forecasts that global revenue from microgrid systems will experience a 64% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next several years, increasing from just $144.2 million in 2011 to $1.7 billion by 2016, under a base case forecast scenario. Under a more aggressive forecast scenario that assumes the alignment of regulatory structures, industry priorities, and public policy supports, microgrid revenues could surpass $3 billion during the same period.

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